SAVANNAH, Ga. (WSAV) – At 11 p.m. Friday, Hurricane Dorian is a strong Category 4 hurricane. Maximum sustained winds are now up to 140mph. In just 24 hours, Dorian has gone from a Category 2 storm to a powerful Category 4. A Category 5 has maximum sustained winds of + 157mph.
A hurricane warning has now been issued for the northwestern Bahamas. This is where 10 to 15 inches of rain could fall. Isolated amounts of up to 20 inches will be possible. Storm surge prediction is 10 to 15 feet.
Dorian is expected to stay a very powerful and extremely dangerous hurricane throughout the weekend.
The storm is 545 miles east of West Palm Beach, moving west/northwest at 10 miles per hour.
By Monday, Dorian’s forward motion will likely slow down, possibly making a turn to the north. There’s still a lot of uncertainty with this track.
By Wednesday, it turns north and could approach the Coastal Empire and Lowcountry.
This track would suggest significant impacts could arrive late Wednesday or early Thursday.
As forecast adjustments are made in the coming days, it’s possible we could go inside and be taken out of the cone several more times. It is important to remember that the purpose of the cone is only to forecast the most likely future location of the center of the storm.
The cone’s width is based on the 5-year average forecast error in that time frame. It does not account for the uncertainty specific to this storm, the latest spaghetti plots, the size of the storm, or the full area that could see dangerous impacts.
Additional changes to the forecast are likely. Make sure to stay up-to-date with us as we get new information over the weekend.